Knowing that they are using a Ranked Ballot the electorate would likely vote very different.
You exploration cannot know what the second, third, etc. choice of a member of the electorate would have been, nor how they would rank them.
Friday night is the worst time to be writing about this kind of thing, but I ran a simulation on the #Canada Election based on the results if we had achieved some sort of ranked runoff when we were promised electoral reform in 2015—FPTP sucks.
Lefts together, rights together, bloc neutral.
Not quite comfortable with publishing yet, but preliminary results are that the LPC would have a big majority (191), the NDP would have kept their needed 12, and Greens at 2.
Worth more exploration? #elxn45
"BREAKING: MP Damien Kurek to resign, allowing Poilievre to run in Battle River Crowfoot by-election “
Pierre Poillievre will go from his Ottawa suburban riding, which he has lived near if not in for decades, to representing a riding he may have visited only on account of it being 1/5 the length of Alberta. 
He's definitely flown over. 
Battle River—Crowfoot elected Conservative Damien Kurek by 81.8% so I guess it's pretty safe. 
#Elxn45 #CanPoli #CdnPoli #CPC
https://www.albernivalleynews.com/home2/breaking-damien-kurek-to-resign-from-battle-river-crowfoot-7983192
King Charles will deliver the next throne speech in Ottawa -- May 27, 2025
https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/king-charles-canada-visit-1.7524946
"For the Boomer comfortably retired in Kelowna, childless in Summerhill, or “elbows up” in a mortgage-free Queen Anne home in the Glebe, the election was about Trump and not much else."
"If you are in your 20s or 30s, however, your priorities in the election were the cost of housing, the cost of living more broadly, and quality of life, especially crime, drug chaos, and out-of-control immigration."
https://thehub.ca/2025/05/01/howard-anglin-canadas-two-new-solitudes-notes-from-an-election/
2/2
"If you bought your first home 20 years ago and if you were well-established in your career before 2015, the last decade didn’t feel so bad. Sure, the prices at your local coffee shop went up and you were constantly surprised by the Lucullan cost of eggs and cheese at Farm Boy, but you shrugged and sucked it up, especially if you had an indexed and defined benefit pension from the golden age of Canadian employment."
1/2
Anthony Germain news (won by TWELVE VOTES).
I'm curious to hear how he sounds in Parliament.
Now that the election is over…
I worked for Elections Canada as a Poll Operations Manager, responsible for 56 ballot boxes across advanced polling and Election Day.
Ask me anything!
“National pundits seemed to chuckle on election night at Vancouver Island’s multi-coloured results, but are we really the most diverse population of voters in Canada or are we just the most willing to express our opinions?
I suggest it’s the latter, and the more power to us as an example of what Canadian democracy can and should be.”
Proportional Representation Now.
@OrionKidder In fact, the polls never showed a 70% chance that the Liberals would win a majority. The polls just showed the LPC 2–4 points ahead in in voter support.
A computer election simulation, based on a weighted aggregation of the polls and other baseline data and assumptions, run 2,000 times, came up with a Liberal majority 70% of the time, a Liberal minority 19% of the time, a Conservative minority 10% of the time, and Conservative majority 1% of the time.
The calls for the NDP and/or Greens demise or absorption are frankly infuriating and insulting.
If you are one of these people, please stop and remember that less than 6 months ago, the Liberal Party was predicted to get around 16% support and possibly lose official party status in the House.
Fortunes change. Democracy is a continuum.
Thanks.
#canpoli #cdnpoli #elxn45
https://angusreid.org/liberals-prime-minister-trudeau-resign-election-2025-poilievre-singh/
Hubris is a useful word in this context:
> Looking back on his time as prime minister, Justin Trudeau said that abandoning his promise of electoral reform was his biggest regret.
> Pilon uses the B.C. riding of Nanaimo–Ladysmith as an example: NDP incumbent Lisa Marie Barron fell to Conservative Tamara Kronis, who had just 35.2 per cent of the vote. Meanwhile, the Liberals, NDP and Greens combined for 64.4 per cent.
https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/ranked-ballots-2025-election-1.7522239
#elxn45
@Sir_Osis_of_Liver
There are always things that could have been done better, and perhaps that includes #PierrePoilievre's manner, but the #CPC would have won #elxn45 if Pres. Trump had not caused the collapse of the NDP and Bloc vote.
Liberals were just 611 votes from a majority government. Here’s how
https://nationalpost.com/news/canada/liberals-were-just-611-votes-from-a-majority-government-heres-how
It's time for the "land doesn't vote, people do" map, Canada 2025 edition:
Created by Jens von Bergmann (@jensvb.bsky.social@bsky.brid.gy / @vb_jens) with more details and a cool animation here: https://doodles.mountainmath.ca/posts/2025-04-28-elections-fun---2025-edition/
Poilievre speaking to recently elected Conservatives, trolling for a seat.
Need any more proof that our electoral system is fundamentally flawed? The #NDP and #BlocQuebecois got exactly the same vote percentage. The Bloc get 22 seats and the advantages of Official/Recognized Party status. The NDP are left to lick their wounds.
It's well past time to end first-past-the-post. #Elxn45 #cdnpoli #ProportionalRepresentation #ElectoralReforms
Cassandra
