Leitzins unverändert: US-Notenbank Fed bietet Präsident Trump erneut die Stirn
Die US-Notenbank Fed hat den Forderungen von Präsident Trump nach Zinssenkungen erneut getrotzt. Damit demonstriert sie auch ihre Unabhängigkeit - nur zu welchem Preis? Von Angela Göpfert.
Major investment banks assess May FOMC as hawkish, highlighting concerns over tariff-induced inflation and potential stagflation risks, while Fed maintains focus on balancing employment and inflation.
#YonhapInfomax #FOMC #Inflation #FederalReserve #Tariffs #Stagflation #Economics #FinancialMarkets #Banking #Securities #Bonds #StockMarket
https://en.infomaxai.com/news/articleView.html?idxno=62124
Goldman Sachs now expecting inflation to hit almost 4% by the end of the year in large part because of the #tariffs.
#economy #inflation #stagflation
@gwynnion Plus another $3T tax welfare package puts us at 150% debt to #GDP. #stagflation
Under #stagflation, with higher rates and slower growth, investors should stay away from growth equity and growth credit and be up in quality and invest in companies with earnings to protect against the downside risk of a recession, notes Torsten Sløk @apolloglobal
Since #tariff announcements began in March, consensus expectations for growth have been revised down, and consensus expectations for inflation have been revised up. This is the definition of #stagflation: higher #inflation and lower #growth, notes Torsten Sløk @apolloglobal
Steven Rattner: "In 100 days, Trump has managed to more than double #inflation expectations to 6.5% from 2.8%. The last time Americans expected this much inflation was in 1980, when inflation was nearly 10% and the country was in a recession."
#Trump #greed #incompetence #politics #stagflation
The first 100 Days in Office:
It’s very rare for consumers to be this pessimistic. They’ve only been this negative during the #stagflation in 1980, and the GFC era, chart @johnauthers.bsky.social
US Consumer Confidence Plunged Again in April - when consumers lose confidence, they curtail their purchases, which is a BIG DEAL and serves to restrain the #economy and stunt growth. With #TrumpTariffs pushing up the cost of all imported goods, the risk of inflation increases. When you pair inflation with decreased consumption, you end up with the dreaded #Stagflation. #Economy #Economics #TradeWar #RepublicansDidThis https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/us-consumer-confidence-plunged-again-in-april-302441206.html
#Russia 
#economy officially entered #recession which combined with very high inflation is described as #stagflation
Explosions and fires in fuel depots in #Novorossiysk
Explosions following UAV attack on ammunition factory in #Dzherzhinsk in #NizhnyiNovgorod oblast'
Intense fighting continues on the border of 
#Sumy oblast' where are attacking from #Kursk oblast'
continues control of parts of #Belgorod oblast'
109k KIA confirmed by name
Nein, Habeck trägt keine Schuld an dieser Rezession. Er hat das Land gut aufgestellt und die #Energiewende vorangetrieben.
"Denn Habeck war es, der in der Ampel-Regierung für Maßnahmen gekämpft hat, die zu einer besseren Aufstellung der Wirtschaft angesichts der vielen Herausforderungen geführt hätten. Vergeblich hat der Grüne die anderen Regierungsparteien wie auch die damalige Opposition zu gewinnen versucht, die nötigen Schritte zu gehen. Habeck fordert etwa schon lange ein Investitionsprogramm, um marode Schulen, Schienen und andere Infrastruktur auf Vordermann zu bringen. Das haben die anderen Parteien verweigert – jetzt wollen Union und SPD genau das in der neuen Regierung umsetzen. Mit ihrer langen Verweigerung tragen sie die Verantwortung dafür, dass die Lage schlechter ist, als sie sein könnte."
- Das Institute of International Finance (IIF) erklärt, dass die US-Wirtschaft durch Trumps Zölle in eine Rezession geraten und im dritten Quartal 2025 um 0,8% und im vierten Quartal um 0,3% schrumpfen könnte. Bis zum Jahresende könnte die Inflation auf satte 4,6% steigen.
Wenn die Inflation steigt und die Wirtschaft in eine Rezession gerät, kann die Fed kaum etwas tun, um eine #Stagflation noch zu vermeiden… Genial.
#Delusional #Nonsense #Trumponomics #Tariffs #ImportTaxes #Recession #inflation #Stagflation
Soviet leaders also bragged incessantly about how awesome their system was and how wonderful the lives of the people thanks to their wise policies, as nothing worked and everything got worse and worse month after month for decades.
Talk me down:
Those in the bottom third of the U.S. economy could simply take on all the debt possible now, *before* the economy tanks and their hard work to *build down debt* recently is obliterated by #stagflation, and be farther ahead post Trump.
Forward loading their debt may help them find an economic cushion in a chaotic #recession #economy through having tradable goods.
They could invest in making sure both houses of Congress change hands in '26.
Make saving worthwhile again.
WASHINGTON — Investor who predicted the 2008 financial crisis says he's 'worried about something worse than a recession' - Ray Dalio, the founder of the hedge fund Bridgewater Associates, said he is "worried about something worse than a recession" if President Donald Trump does not properly handle tariffs and other economic policies.
"I think that right now we are at a decision-making point and very close to a recession," Dalio said on NBC News' "Meet the Press" on Sunday. "And I'm worried about something worse than a recession, if this isn't handled well." - #economy #economics #finance #recession #TrumpTariffs #Tariffs #TradeWar #Inflation #Stagflation https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/politics-news/investor-predicted-2008-financial-crisis-says-worried-something-worse-rcna201040
Bill Dudley @NewYorkFed former president: #stagflation is now America’s best-case scenario – Trump’s #tariffs risk a brutal combination of recession and inflation – chart @opinion https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2025-04-07/stagflation-is-now-america-s-best-case-scenario
One serious concern is #stagflation — persistently increased inflation coupled with low economic growth and increased unemployment.
Though lowering the dollar’s value will be a boon for US exports, it also threatens the dollar’s place as the world’s reserve currency as it invites economic turmoil to American consumers.
/3 
#USA #economics #USEcon #trump
~ The Weaker U.S. Dollar Is MAGA's Silent Killer ~ (opinion)
NY Times - #News - Stocks Dive Again as Angst Rises Over Trump’s Trade War
The S&P 500 fell 3.5 percent by the closing bell, erasing part of Wednesday’s recovery, as fears grew that the worsening trade war with China will crimp growth. #StockMarket #Stocks #SandP #Finance #economy #investment #trade #TradeWar #Recession #stagflation
NY Times - #News - China and Europe Hit Back as U.S. Tariffs Kick In; Tumult Spreads to Bond Market… Stocks and bonds fell as markets opened, heightening fears of a global recession as China and the European Union announced trade retaliation against the United States.
I wrote a longish essay on why #TrumpTariffs are based on bad logic, bad math, and bad diplomacy… and will ultimately lead us into a period of #stagflation.
https://docs.google.com/document/d/1QQR1E6wZKvl4rjCHmRepoWM_Lp7UQJWpSSpdWbEI31M/edit
